Dordrecht host MVV in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at M-Scores Stadion. Dordrecht are 4th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dordrecht's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Jong PSV U21 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Dordrecht and 0.8 for MVV. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dordrecht 70%, draw 21%, MVV 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dordrecht to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Dordrecht 2–0 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dordrecht70%fair 1.43 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.80
MVV9%fair 11.08 · @6.00
3.12Expected goals
2.33Dordrecht xG
0.79MVV xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 2.3 – 0.8 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
70%
1.43
1.44
Double chance
Dordrecht or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Half-time result
Dordrecht ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Dordrecht – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
MVV – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
13 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and MVV.
Our pick is Dordrecht to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dordrecht vs MVV?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MVV 9%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs MVV?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 2–0 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs MVV?
Dordrecht vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
