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I Liga · Poland · Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSlask Wroclaw to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceSlask Wroclaw or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction

The match

Slask Wroclaw host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the I Liga on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Tarczynski Arena.

Form guide

Slask Wroclaw's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Polonia Bytom 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Tychy 71 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Slask Wroclaw arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Slask Wroclaw and 1.1 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Slask Wroclaw 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Slask Wroclaw61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki17%fair 5.90 · @4.50
3.36Expected goals
2.24Slask Wroclaw xG
1.13Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Slask Wroclaw 2.2 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlask Wroclaw to win ✗61%1.631.55
Double chanceSlask Wroclaw or draw ✓83%1.201.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.45
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.531.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Half-time resultSlask Wroclaw ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slask Wroclaw / FT Slask Wroclaw ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Form

Slask Wroclaw – last 6

WDWWWW
17 May@ Polonia Bytom3–1W
11 Mayvs ŁKS Łódź2–2D
1 May@ Górnik Łęczna4–0W
10 Apr@ Polonia Warszawa4–0W
15 Mar@ Tychy 714–2W
22 Febvs Odra Opole3–0W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

DLLDLL
17 Mayvs Tychy 710–0D
11 May@ Odra Opole1–3L
7 May@ ŁKS Łódź2–3L
27 Apr@ Ruch Chorzów2–2D
19 Aprvs Pogoń Siedlce0–2L
6 Aprvs Stal Mielec1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Slask Wroclaw and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Slask Wroclaw have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 17%.

How many goals will there be in Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Slask Wroclaw 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Tarczynski Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.