Value bet: Miedz Legnica to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiedz Legnica to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceMiedz Legnica or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice preview and prediction
The match
Puszcza Niepołomice travel to Stadion im. Orła Białego in the I Liga on Sunday 24 May (15:30 WAT) to face Miedz Legnica. Miedz Legnica are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Puszcza Niepołomice sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Miedz Legnica's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Ruch Chorzów 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Puszcza Niepołomice's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat ŁKS Łódź 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Puszcza Niepołomice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Miedz Legnica and 0.9 for Puszcza Niepołomice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Miedz Legnica to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Miedz Legnica 2–0 Puszcza Niepołomice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miedz Legnica60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
Puszcza Niepołomice15%fair 6.88 · @3.85
2.83Expected goals
1.95Miedz Legnica xG
0.88Puszcza Niepołomice xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Miedz Legnica 1.9 – 0.9 Puszcza Niepołomice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miedz Legnica to win✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Miedz Legnica or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Miedz Legnica ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miedz Legnica / FT Miedz Legnica✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Miedz Legnica – last 4
LLDL
17 May
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Górnik Łęczna
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Wisla Krakow
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6
WWDLWW
18 May
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–0
W
1 May
vs Znicz Pruszków
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Wisla Krakow
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Odra Opole
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Chrobry Głogów
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miedz Legnica and Puszcza Niepołomice.
What is the prediction for Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
On our numbers Miedz Legnica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puszcza Niepołomice 15%.
How many goals will there be in Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Our predicted score is Miedz Legnica 2–0 Puszcza Niepołomice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Miedz Legnica vs Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Orła Białego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.