Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: NEC Nijmegen to win @ 1.71 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗64% · @1.71
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen preview and prediction
The match
NEC Nijmegen host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 12:15 (WAT) at Goffertstadion. NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Heerenveen sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.2 for Heerenveen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEC Nijmegen 64%, draw 18%, Heerenveen 18%.
Safer route: NEC Nijmegen or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.71 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEC Nijmegen or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Heerenveen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEC Nijmegen64%fair 1.56 · @1.71
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
Heerenveen18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
3.61Expected goals
2.41NEC Nijmegen xG
1.21Heerenveen xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.4 – 1.2 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
64%
1.56
1.71 ▲
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
NEC Nijmegen – last 2
WD
3 Mar
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Heerenveen 18%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
