Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Ajax to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFeyenoord to win ✗45% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Feyenoord vs Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Feyenoord host Ajax in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at De Kuip. Feyenoord are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Ajax sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Feyenoord's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Excelsior 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Feyenoord and 1.6 for Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Feyenoord 45%, draw 19%, Ajax 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Ajax to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Feyenoord45%fair 2.21 · @2.04
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Ajax35%fair 2.82 · @3.15
3.34Expected goals
1.79Feyenoord xG
1.55Ajax xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Feyenoord 1.8 – 1.6 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feyenoord to win✗
45%
2.21
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feyenoord / FT Feyenoord✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Feyenoord – last 5
WDLWW
15 Mar
vs Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ NAC Breda
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Twente
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Telstar
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 1
D
1 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feyenoord and Ajax.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?
On our numbers Feyenoord have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ajax 35%.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Feyenoord vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
