Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAjax to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees PEC Zwolle take on Ajax on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 12:15 (WAT) at MAC³PARK Stadion. PEC Zwolle are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Ajax sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for PEC Zwolle and 2.1 for Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: PEC Zwolle 21%, draw 20%, Ajax 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1–2 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PEC Zwolle21%fair 4.75 · @4.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Ajax59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
3.28Expected goals
1.18PEC Zwolle xG
2.10Ajax xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.2 – 2.1 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Half-time result
Ajax ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
PEC Zwolle – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ajax
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and Ajax.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ajax 59%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at MAC³PARK Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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