Value bet: Groningen to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroningen to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
FC Volendam vs Groningen preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees FC Volendam take on Groningen on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Kras Stadion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for FC Volendam and 1.8 for Groningen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Volendam 23%, draw 19%, Groningen 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Groningen to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Volendam 1–1 Groningen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Volendam23%fair 4.33 · @3.75
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.60
Groningen58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
2.78Expected goals
1.00FC Volendam xG
1.78Groningen xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: FC Volendam 1.0 – 1.8 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
FC Volendam – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs PSV Eindhoven
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and Groningen.
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Volendam vs Groningen?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Groningen 58%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs Groningen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Volendam vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is FC Volendam 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Volendam vs Groningen?
FC Volendam vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
