Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Raków Częstochowa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 1.75 – our chance 67% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓67% · @1.75
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.16
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on Pogon Szczecin on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at zondacrypto Arena. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Avia Świdnik 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.8 for Pogon Szczecin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Raków Częstochowa or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 1.75 – 67% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raków Częstochowa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa67%fair 1.50 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Pogon Szczecin14%fair 7.27 · @4.35
2.84Expected goals
2.05Raków Częstochowa xG
0.79Pogon Szczecin xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 2.0 – 0.8 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
67%
1.50
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.16
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 3
DLW
5 Mar
@ Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Nieciecza
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pogon Szczecin 14%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
