Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Legia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegia Warszawa to win64% · @1.90
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.28
Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Legia Warszawa take on Cracovia Krakow on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie. Legia Warszawa are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Cracovia Krakow sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Legia Warszawa and 0.7 for Cracovia Krakow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legia Warszawa 64%, draw 23%, Cracovia Krakow 14%.
Safer route: Legia Warszawa or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Legia Warszawa to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Legia Warszawa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Cracovia Krakow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legia Warszawa64%fair 1.57 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Cracovia Krakow14%fair 7.36 · @4.10
2.39Expected goals
1.74Legia Warszawa xG
0.65Cracovia Krakow xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.7 – 0.7 Cracovia Krakow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win
64%
1.57
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.28
–
Form
Legia Warszawa – last 2
DD
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cracovia Krakow – last 2
LD
27 Feb
vs Piast Gliwice
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Cracovia Krakow.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cracovia Krakow 14%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–0 Cracovia Krakow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
