Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Roma to win63% · @1.50
Double chanceAS Roma or draw85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.19
Parma vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Parma take on AS Roma on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Parma's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Torino 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Roma's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Fiorentina 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Parma and 1.7 for AS Roma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 15%, draw 22%, AS Roma 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Parma 0–1 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma15%fair 6.53 · @6.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
AS Roma63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
2.34Expected goals
0.66Parma xG
1.68AS Roma xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Parma 0.7 – 1.7 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
AS Roma or draw
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.19
–
Form
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WWLDLD
4 May
vs Fiorentina
4–0
W
10 Apr
vs Pisa
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Inter
2–5
L
19 Mar
vs Bologna
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Como
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and AS Roma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Parma have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 63%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona0
Cremonese3
Pisa0