Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win67% · @1.21
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 8.86
Inter vs Parma preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Inter take on Parma on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Parma sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Como 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Parma's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Torino 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Inter and 0.9 for Parma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 67%, draw 15%, Parma 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Inter 2–0 Parma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter67%fair 1.49 · @1.21
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @6.00
Parma18%fair 5.65 · @12.50
2.92Expected goals
2.04Inter xG
0.87Parma xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.0 – 0.9 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win
67%
1.49
1.21
Double chance
Either team to win
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.62
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
8.86
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WWWDLL
21 Apr
vs Como
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Cagliari
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs AS Roma
5–2
W
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Parma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Inter vs Parma?
On our numbers Inter have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Parma 18%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Parma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Parma?
Inter vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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