Value bet: Juventus to win @ 2.48 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventus to win45% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.98
AC Milan vs Juventus preview and prediction
The match
AC Milan host Juventus in the Serie A on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are 4th with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Juventus sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AC Milan's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Juventus's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Genoa 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for AC Milan and 1.4 for Juventus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Milan 32%, draw 22%, Juventus 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Juventus to win at 2.48 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: AC Milan 1–1 Juventus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Milan32%fair 3.10 · @2.86
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Juventus45%fair 2.21 · @2.48
2.54Expected goals
1.13AC Milan xG
1.41Juventus xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.1 – 1.4 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win
45%
2.21
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
8.98
–
Form
AC Milan – last 6
WLLWLD
19 Apr
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Lazio
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Cremonese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Parma
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Como
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 4
WWLL
6 Apr
vs Genoa
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Juventus.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AC Milan vs Juventus?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventus 45%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Juventus?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Juventus?
AC Milan vs Juventus (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
