Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecce to win ✓48% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Lecce vs Cremonese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lecce take on Cremonese on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
Form guide
Cremonese's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to AC Milan 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Lecce and 0.9 for Cremonese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecce 48%, draw 24%, Cremonese 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Lecce 1–0 Cremonese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecce48%fair 2.10 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.90
Cremonese28%fair 3.53 · @3.90
2.12Expected goals
1.25Lecce xG
0.87Cremonese xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lecce 1.2 – 0.9 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecce to win✓
48%
2.10
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecce / FT Lecce✓
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Lecce – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ AS Roma
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Genoa
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and Cremonese.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lecce vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Lecce have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cremonese 28%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Lecce 1–0 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Cremonese?
Lecce vs Cremonese (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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