Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: AS Roma to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Roma to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Genoa vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
AS Roma travel to Luigi Ferraris in the Serie A on Sunday 8 March (18:00 WAT) to face Genoa. Genoa are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Genoa and 1.6 for AS Roma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genoa 19%, draw 24%, AS Roma 57%.
Safer route: AS Roma or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: AS Roma to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AS Roma or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Genoa 0–1 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genoa19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.35
AS Roma57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
2.37Expected goals
0.79Genoa xG
1.58AS Roma xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–212%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Genoa 0.8 – 1.6 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✗
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
Genoa – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and AS Roma.
Our pick is AS Roma or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Genoa have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS Roma 57%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs AS Roma?
Genoa vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Hellas Verona2