Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21 prediction & analysis
Luxembourg U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Luxembourg U21 2.4 – 1.2 Estonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Luxembourg U21 are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Estonia U21.
Luxembourg U21 have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.6 per game. Estonia U21 have 0 points from their last 4 (0W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded. Luxembourg U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.4 for Luxembourg U21, 1.2 for Estonia U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Luxembourg U21 to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Luxembourg U21 to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Luxembourg U21 or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Luxembourg U21 ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Luxembourg U21 / FT Luxembourg U21 ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.72 | – |
Form
Luxembourg U21 – last 5
| 3 Oct | @ France U21 | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | @ Faroe Islands U21 | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Switzerland U21 | 0–5 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Kosovo U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Mar | vs France U21 | 1–5 | L |
Estonia U21 – last 4
| 29 Sep | vs France U21 | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Faroe Islands U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Switzerland U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Iceland U21 | 2–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luxembourg U21 and Estonia U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Norway U21 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Croatia U21 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  Finland U21 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Austria U21 | 10 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estonia U21 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
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Wales U211Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21?
Our pick is Luxembourg U21 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21?
On our numbers Luxembourg U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estonia U21 16%.
How many goals will there be in Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21?
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.