Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Sweden U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSweden U21 to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceSweden U21 or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.84
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 preview and prediction
The match
Sweden U21 host North Macedonia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena. Sweden U21 are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games, while North Macedonia U21 sit 5th on 9 points.
Form guide
Sweden U21's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Poland U21 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
North Macedonia U21's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Montenegro U21 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Sweden U21 and 1.0 for North Macedonia U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sweden U21 67%, draw 18%, North Macedonia U21 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sweden U21 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sweden U21 2–0 North Macedonia U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sweden U2167%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
North Macedonia U2115%fair 6.60 · @8.50
3.22Expected goals
2.26Sweden U21 xG
0.96North Macedonia U21 xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sweden U21 2.3 – 1.0 North Macedonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden U21 to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Sweden U21 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Sweden U21 ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden U21 / FT Sweden U21✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.84
–
Form
Sweden U21 – last 4
LLLD
30 Sep
@ Poland U21
0–3
L
4 Jun
vs Finland U21
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Italy U21
0–4
L
27 Mar
vs Montenegro U21
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
North Macedonia U21 – last 6
DLLLWL
1 Oct
vs Montenegro U21
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Morocco U20
1–5
L
24 Aug
@ Türkiye U20
0–3
L
8 Jun
vs United States U20
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ Armenia U21
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Italy U21
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sweden U21 and North Macedonia U21.
What is the prediction for Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Our pick is Sweden U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
On our numbers Sweden U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and North Macedonia U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Our predicted score is Sweden U21 2–0 North Macedonia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Armenia U211
Poland U212