Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 preview and prediction
The match
Armenia U21 travel to DG Arena in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Monday 5 October (15:30 WAT) to face Montenegro U21. Montenegro U21 are 5th with 11 points from 10 games, while Armenia U21 sit 6th on 3 points.
Form guide
Montenegro U21's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with North Macedonia U21 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Armenia U21's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Italy U21 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Montenegro U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Montenegro U21 and 1.0 for Armenia U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montenegro U21 65%, draw 18%, Armenia U21 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montenegro U21 2–1 Armenia U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montenegro U2165%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.40
Armenia U2117%fair 5.80 · @7.00
3.06Expected goals
2.11Montenegro U21 xG
0.95Armenia U21 xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Montenegro U21 2.1 – 1.0 Armenia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montenegro U21 to win✗
65%
1.54
1.33
Double chance
Montenegro U21 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Montenegro U21 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montenegro U21 / FT Montenegro U21✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.60
–
Form
Montenegro U21 – last 4
DDLD
1 Oct
@ North Macedonia U21
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Cyprus U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Poland U21
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Sweden U21
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Armenia U21 – last 3
LLL
1 Oct
vs Italy U21
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs North Macedonia U21
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Poland U21
1–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montenegro U21 and Armenia U21.
What is the prediction for Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
On our numbers Montenegro U21 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Armenia U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Our predicted score is Montenegro U21 2–1 Armenia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poland U212
North Macedonia U210