Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Northern Ireland U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Northern Ireland U21 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthern Ireland U21 to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceNorthern Ireland U21 or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 preview and prediction
The match
Northern Ireland U21 host Georgia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Thursday 1 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Form guide
Northern Ireland U21's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Malta U21 4–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Georgia U21's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to Greece U21 0–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Northern Ireland U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Northern Ireland U21 and 0.9 for Georgia U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Northern Ireland U21 or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Northern Ireland U21 to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Northern Ireland U21 or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Northern Ireland U21 2–0 Georgia U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northern Ireland U2163%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Georgia U2113%fair 7.94 · @3.80
2.94Expected goals
2.07Northern Ireland U21 xG
0.87Georgia U21 xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland U21 2.1 – 0.9 Georgia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northern Ireland U21 to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Northern Ireland U21 or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Northern Ireland U21 ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northern Ireland U21 / FT Northern Ireland U21✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Northern Ireland U21 – last 4
WLWL
26 Sep
@ Malta U21
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Portugal U21
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Latvia U21
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Germany U21
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Georgia U21 – last 4
LLWD
26 Sep
vs Greece U21
0–3
L
9 Jun
@ Moldova U21
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Malta U21
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Latvia U21
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland U21 and Georgia U21.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Our pick is Northern Ireland U21 or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
On our numbers Northern Ireland U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Georgia U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland U21 2–0 Georgia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Greece U214
Latvia U212
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Montenegro U211
Armenia U210
Italy U211
Hungary U212