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UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Stadion Petar Milosevski

North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontenegro U21 to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Win chances

North Macedonia U2135%fair 2.88 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Montenegro U2141%fair 2.42 · @2.30
3.06Expected goals
1.45North Macedonia U21 xG
1.61Montenegro U21 xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: North Macedonia U21 1.5 – 1.6 Montenegro U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates North Macedonia U21 and Montenegro U21 on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

North Macedonia U21 have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (1W 0D 4L), scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.8 per game. Montenegro U21 have 2 points from their last 3 (0W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for North Macedonia U21, 1.6 for Montenegro U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontenegro U21 to win ✗41%2.422.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montenegro U21 / FT Montenegro U21 ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Form

North Macedonia U21 – last 5

LLLWL
26 Augvs Morocco U201–5L
24 Aug@ Türkiye U200–3L
8 Junvs United States U200–2L
31 Mar@ Armenia U212–0W
26 Mar@ Italy U210–4L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Montenegro U21 – last 3

DLD
5 Junvs Cyprus U211–1D
31 Marvs Poland U210–1L
27 Mar@ Sweden U212–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between North Macedonia U21 and Montenegro U21.

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U2110730+1424
2Republic of Ireland U2110613+619
3Sweden U2110532+1418
4Bosnia-Herzegovina U2110325-711
5Montenegro U2110325-311
6Luxembourg U2110019-241

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21?

On our numbers North Macedonia U21 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montenegro U21 41%.

How many goals will there be in North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21?

North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Petar Milosevski.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.