Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21 preview and prediction
The match
Portugal U21 travel to Stadion Georgi Benkovski in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Friday 25 September (16:30 WAT) to face Bulgaria U21. Bulgaria U21 are 5th with 10 points from 10 games, while Portugal U21 sit 1st on 28 points. A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portugal U21's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Northern Ireland U21 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Bulgaria U21 and 2.2 for Portugal U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bulgaria U21 11%, draw 15%, Portugal U21 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bulgaria U21 1–2 Portugal U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bulgaria U2111%fair 8.82 · @13.00
Draw15%fair 6.64 · @6.00
Portugal U2174%fair 1.36 · @1.17
2.93Expected goals
0.70Bulgaria U21 xG
2.23Portugal U21 xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bulgaria U21 0.7 – 2.2 Portugal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal U21 to win✗
74%
1.36
1.17
Double chance
Portugal U21 or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Portugal U21 ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal U21 / FT Portugal U21✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Bulgaria U21 – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Azerbaijan U21
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Gibraltar U21
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Portugal U21 – last 3
WWW
3 Jun
vs Northern Ireland U21
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Scotland U21
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan U21
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bulgaria U21 and Portugal U21.
What is the prediction for Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
On our numbers Bulgaria U21 have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Portugal U21 74%.
How many goals will there be in Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Our predicted score is Bulgaria U21 1–2 Portugal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Netherlands U210
Norway U210
Switzerland U215
Luxembourg U210