Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain U21 to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceSpain U21 or draw ✗89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Finland U21 vs Spain U21 preview and prediction
The match
Finland U21 host Spain U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification on Friday 25 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Tammelan Stadion. Finland U21 are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games, while Spain U21 sit 1st on 24 points.
Form guide
Finland U21's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Norway U21 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.3 for Finland U21 and 2.7 for Spain U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finland U21 11%, draw 24%, Spain U21 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Finland U21 1–2 Spain U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finland U2111%fair 8.97 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
Spain U2165%fair 1.54 · @1.40
4.00Expected goals
1.25Finland U21 xG
2.75Spain U21 xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–45%
From our goals model: Finland U21 1.3 – 2.7 Spain U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain U21 to win✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Spain U21 or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Spain U21 ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain U21 / FT Spain U21✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Finland U21 – last 4
WWWW
8 Jun
@ Norway U21
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Sweden U21
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cyprus U21
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ San Marino U21
8–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Spain U21 – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Kosovo U21
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Cyprus U21
7–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finland U21 and Spain U21.
What is the prediction for Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
On our numbers Finland U21 have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spain U21 65%.
How many goals will there be in Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Our predicted score is Finland U21 1–2 Spain U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Finland U21 vs Spain U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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