Iceland U21 vs France U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Iceland U21 1.1 – 2.6 France U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
France U21 travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 13% for Iceland U21.
Iceland U21 have taken 3 points from their last 2 matches (1W 0D 1L), scoring 3.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. France U21 have 7 points from their last 3 (2W 1D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. France U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.1 for Iceland U21, 2.6 for France U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Iceland U21 have won 0, France U21 have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.10 is better than our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | France U21 to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | France U21 or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time result | France U21 ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT France U21 / FT France U21 ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.83 | – |
Form
Iceland U21 – last 2
| 30 Mar | @ France U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | vs Estonia U21 | 6–2 | W |
France U21 – last 3
| 23 Sep | vs Austria U18 | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | vs Iceland U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Luxembourg U21 | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
| 30 Mar 2026 | France U21 v Iceland U21 | 2–1 |
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal U21 | 10 | +38 | 28 |
| 2 |  Iceland U21 | 10 | +18 | 18 |
| 3 |  Greece U21 | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Belarus U21 | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cyprus U21 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Liechtenstein U21 | 10 | -63 | 0 |
More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions
League hub
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Bulgaria U212
Estonia U211
Faroe Islands U212
Romania U213
Slovakia U210
Republic of Ireland U212
Netherlands U210
Norway U210
Switzerland U215
Luxembourg U210Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs France U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Iceland U21 vs France U21?
On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and France U21 68%.
How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs France U21?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Iceland U21 vs France U21?
Iceland U21 vs France U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.