Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaruinense to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Maruinense vs Caninde preview and prediction
The match
The Sergipano 2 sees Maruinense take on Caninde on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Maruinense are 2nd with 10 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Caninde sit 1st on 10 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maruinense's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Independente Simão Dias 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Caninde's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Socorrense 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Maruinense and 1.6 for Caninde. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Maruinense 1–1 Caninde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maruinense39%fair 2.53 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.44
Caninde38%fair 2.62 · @2.58
3.16Expected goals
1.59Maruinense xG
1.56Caninde xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Maruinense 1.6 – 1.6 Caninde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maruinense to win✓
39%
2.53
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maruinense / FT Maruinense✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Maruinense – last 4
DWLW
11 Nov
vs Independente Simão Dias
1–1
D
4 Nov
vs Socorro Sport
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Estanciano
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Frei Paulistano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caninde – last 5
WWLDW
10 Nov
vs Socorrense
2–1
W
7 Nov
@ Flamengo SE
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Carmópolis
0–3
L
31 Oct
vs Olímpico SE
3–3
D
28 Oct
@ América de Pedrinhas
6–1
W
2.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maruinense and Caninde.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Maruinense vs Caninde?
On our numbers Maruinense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caninde 38%.
How many goals will there be in Maruinense vs Caninde?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maruinense vs Caninde?
Our predicted score is Maruinense 1–1 Caninde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Maruinense vs Caninde?
Maruinense vs Caninde (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
