Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarmópolis to win ✗42% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano preview and prediction
The match
Carmópolis host Frei Paulistano in the Sergipano 2 on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Carmópolis are 2nd with 9 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Frei Paulistano sit 1st on 12 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Carmópolis's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Olímpico SE 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Frei Paulistano's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Independente Simão Dias 6–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Carmópolis and 1.6 for Frei Paulistano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.51. Predicted score: Carmópolis 1–1 Frei Paulistano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carmópolis42%fair 2.38 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.44
Frei Paulistano36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
3.37Expected goals
1.76Carmópolis xG
1.61Frei Paulistano xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Carmópolis 1.8 – 1.6 Frei Paulistano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmópolis to win✗
42%
2.38
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.51
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmópolis / FT Carmópolis✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Carmópolis – last 5
DDWWD
10 Nov
vs Olímpico SE
2–2
D
7 Nov
@ Socorrense
0–0
D
3 Nov
vs Caninde
3–0
W
31 Oct
vs América de Pedrinhas
8–0
W
28 Oct
@ Flamengo SE
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Frei Paulistano – last 4
WWWL
8 Nov
@ Independente Simão Dias
6–1
W
4 Nov
@ Estanciano
2–0
W
1 Nov
vs Barra SE
5–0
W
29 Oct
@ Maruinense
1–2
L
3.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carmópolis and Frei Paulistano.
What is the prediction for Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano?
On our numbers Carmópolis have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Frei Paulistano 36%.
How many goals will there be in Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano?
Our predicted score is Carmópolis 1–1 Frei Paulistano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano?
Carmópolis vs Frei Paulistano (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
