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Sat 14 Nov 2026

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Legia Warszawa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.74

5/10Rating
1.74Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLegia Warszawa to win62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.13

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction

The match

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki travel to face Legia Warszawa in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 14 November (11:30 WAT).

Form guide

Legia Warszawa's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Raków Częstochowa 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Legia Warszawa and 1.1 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our pick: Legia Warszawa to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Legia Warszawa62%fair 1.63 · @1.74
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @3.93
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki21%fair 4.79 · @3.54
3.23Expected goals
2.14Legia Warszawa xG
1.09Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

Legia WarszawaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-1%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-24%+27%
Our expected goals here2.181.06

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win62%1.631.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.211.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.49
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.611.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.661.50
Half-time resultLegia Warszawa ahead at half-time46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.13–

Form

Legia Warszawa – last 6

LDLDWW
8 Novvs Raków Częstochowa2–4L
30 Oct@ Gornik Zabrze0–0D
25 Octvs Lech Poznan1–2L
17 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–1D
11 Octvs Wisla Krakow2–0W
20 Sep@ Jagiellonia3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

LLLLWL
8 Nov@ Pogoń Siedlce1–2L
30 Octvs Stal Mielec0–1L
25 Oct@ Ruch Chorzów0–2L
17 Octvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
10 Oct@ Chrobry Głogów4–0W
2 Oct@ Radomiak Radom2–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–1
Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Legia Warszawa to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 21%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.