Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win60% · @1.33
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw80% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.64
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Moscow host Arsenal Tula in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to FC Krasnodar 2–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Chelyabinsk 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
CSKA Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 October 2026, finished CSKA Moscow 3–1 Arsenal Tula. Across their last 2 meetings CSKA Moscow have won 1, Arsenal Tula 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for CSKA Moscow and 1.4 for Arsenal Tula. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Moscow 60%, draw 20%, Arsenal Tula 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.87 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow60%fair 1.67 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
Arsenal Tula20%fair 5.02 · @8.70
3.43Expected goals
2.06CSKA Moscow xG
1.38Arsenal Tula xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 2.1 – 1.4 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
CSKA Moscow
Arsenal Tula
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-7%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.51
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arsenal Tula 20%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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