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Tue 17 Nov 2026

Wanderers vs Juventud prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultWanderers to win39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.03

Wanderers vs Juventud preview and prediction

The match

Juventud travel to face Wanderers in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 17 November (00:00 WAT). Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Juventud sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Wanderers's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Lito 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Juventud's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Juventud arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Juventud 2–5 Wanderers.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Wanderers and 1.1 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Wanderers39%fair 2.57 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Juventud33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.27Wanderers xG
1.09Juventud xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

WanderersJuventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-1%-18%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-6%
Our expected goals here1.200.96

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWanderers to win39%2.572.15
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wanderers / FT Wanderers23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.03–

Form

Wanderers – last 6

LDLLLD
5 Nov@ Lito0–4L
31 Oct@ Penarol1–1D
25 Octvs Progreso0–1L
17 Oct@ Racing Montevideo0–3L
10 Octvs Boston River1–3L
7 Oct@ Cerrito2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

DLWDLW
11 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo1–1D
3 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo0–2L
28 Oct@ Nacional Florida2–0W
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Juventud v Wanderers2–5
Wanderers vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Wanderers vs Juventud?

On our numbers Wanderers have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventud 33%.

How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Wanderers vs Juventud?

Wanderers vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.