Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win55% · @1.80
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 5.83
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Danubio host Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Danubio are 14th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Danubio's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Juventud 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.7 for Danubio and 1.4 for Liverpool Montevideo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Danubio 20%, draw 25%, Liverpool Montevideo 55%.
Safer route: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Prediction
Our prediction: Liverpool Montevideo or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Danubio20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Liverpool Montevideo55%fair 1.83 · @1.80
2.11Expected goals
0.70Danubio xG
1.41Liverpool Montevideo xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–012%
0–212%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Danubio 0.7 – 1.4 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-34%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.58
1.22
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win
55%
1.83
1.80
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
5.83
–
Form
Danubio – last 6
LWLWWL
1 Nov
vs Club Nacional
1–2
L
30 Oct
@ Wanderers Durazno
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Central Espanol
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Central Espanol
6–0
W
9 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Nov
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Nov
@ Gladiador
2–0
W
3 Nov
vs Juventud
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Penarol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Danubio have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liverpool Montevideo 55%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
