Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.34 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +71%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYarmouk to win ✓75% · @1.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @3.34
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Yarmouk vs Sporty preview and prediction
The match
The Division 1 sees Yarmouk take on Sporty on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Yarmouk are 2nd with 7 points from 3 games, while Sporty sit 7th on 0 points.
Form guide
Yarmouk's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Shamiya 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sporty's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Al Jazira 0–6 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.8 conceded.
Yarmouk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 July 2026, finished Sporty 1–2 Yarmouk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Yarmouk and 1.0 for Sporty. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yarmouk 75%, draw 13%, Sporty 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 3.34.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 3.34 – 51% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Yarmouk 2–1 Sporty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yarmouk75%fair 1.34 · @1.05
Draw13%fair 7.99 · @11.00
Sporty13%fair 7.80 · @34.00
3.75Expected goals
2.73Yarmouk xG
1.02Sporty xG
51%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Yarmouk 2.7 – 1.0 Sporty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Sporty?
On our numbers Yarmouk have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Sporty 13%.
How many goals will there be in Yarmouk vs Sporty?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarmouk vs Sporty?
Our predicted score is Yarmouk 2–1 Sporty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Yarmouk vs Sporty?
Yarmouk vs Sporty (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
