Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurgan to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceBurgan or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.71
Burgan vs Shamiya preview and prediction
The match
The Division 1 sees Burgan take on Shamiya on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Burgan are 5th with 4 points from 3 games, while Shamiya sit 6th on 0 points.
Form guide
Burgan's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Yarmouk 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shamiya's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Yarmouk 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Burgan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 August 2026, finished Burgan 4–1 Shamiya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Burgan and 0.7 for Shamiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgan 66%, draw 21%, Shamiya 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.87.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Burgan 1–0 Shamiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgan66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.25
Shamiya13%fair 7.61 · @7.60
2.72Expected goals
1.98Burgan xG
0.75Shamiya xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burgan 2.0 – 0.7 Shamiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Burgan vs Shamiya?
On our numbers Burgan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shamiya 13%.
How many goals will there be in Burgan vs Shamiya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgan vs Shamiya?
Our predicted score is Burgan 1–0 Shamiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burgan vs Shamiya?
Burgan vs Shamiya (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.