Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarra SE to win ✗45% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE preview and prediction
The match
The Sergipano 2 sees Independente Simão Dias take on Barra SE on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Independente Simão Dias are 6th with 2 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Barra SE sit 5th on 2 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Independente Simão Dias and 1.6 for Barra SE. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independente Simão Dias 34%, draw 20%, Barra SE 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.56.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: Independente Simão Dias 1–1 Barra SE. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independente Simão Dias34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Barra SE45%fair 2.21 · @2.04
2.95Expected goals
1.35Independente Simão Dias xG
1.60Barra SE xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Independente Simão Dias 1.3 – 1.6 Barra SE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra SE to win✗
45%
2.21
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.37
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra SE / FT Barra SE
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Form
Independente Simão Dias – last 2
LD
1 Nov
@ Socorro Sport
0–5
L
29 Oct
vs Estanciano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barra SE – last 2
LD
1 Nov
@ Frei Paulistano
0–5
L
29 Oct
vs Socorro Sport
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independente Simão Dias and Barra SE.
What is the prediction for Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
On our numbers Independente Simão Dias have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barra SE 45%.
How many goals will there be in Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Our predicted score is Independente Simão Dias 1–1 Barra SE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
