Value bet: Maruinense to win @ 3.04 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSocorro Sport to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Maruinense vs Socorro Sport preview and prediction
The match
Maruinense host Socorro Sport in the Sergipano 2 on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Maruinense are 2nd with 9 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Socorro Sport sit 4th on 4 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Maruinense and 1.3 for Socorro Sport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maruinense 35%, draw 21%, Socorro Sport 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Maruinense to win at 3.04 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Maruinense 1–1 Socorro Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maruinense35%fair 2.82 · @3.04
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.42
Socorro Sport44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.15Maruinense xG
1.33Socorro Sport xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maruinense 1.2 – 1.3 Socorro Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Socorro Sport to win✗
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Socorro Sport / FT Socorro Sport
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.02
–
Form
Maruinense – last 2
LW
1 Nov
@ Estanciano
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Frei Paulistano
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Socorro Sport – last 2
WD
1 Nov
vs Independente Simão Dias
5–0
W
29 Oct
@ Barra SE
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maruinense and Socorro Sport.
What is the prediction for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
On our numbers Maruinense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Socorro Sport 44%.
How many goals will there be in Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Our predicted score is Maruinense 1–1 Socorro Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Maruinense vs Socorro Sport (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
