FA Cup · England · Home Park
Plymouth
Alvechurch
Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction & analysis
Plymouth to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Plymouth 2.6 – 0.8 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Plymouth are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 9% for Alvechurch.
Plymouth have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Alvechurch have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.6 for Plymouth, 0.8 for Alvechurch). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 3–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Plymouth to win at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Plymouth to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | Plymouth or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | Plymouth ahead at half-time ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.77 | – |
Form
Plymouth – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Reading | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Cambridge United | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Stevenage | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Huddersfield | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs AFC Wimbledon | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Newport County | 2–2 | D |
Alvechurch – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Leiston | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Anstey Nomads | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Stratford Town | 4–4 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Spalding United | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Spalding United | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Halesowen Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Alvechurch.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alvechurch 9%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Plymouth vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.