FA Cup · England · The Hive Stadium

Barnet

DWDLW
3–0
FT

Tranmere

WDWLD

Barnet vs Tranmere prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarnet to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.94

Win chances

Barnet59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.90
Tranmere19%fair 5.18 · @4.75
2.96Expected goals
1.95Barnet xG
1.02Tranmere xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Barnet 1.9 – 1.0 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Barnet hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Tranmere.

Barnet have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Tranmere have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 for Barnet, 1.0 for Tranmere). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Barnet have won 1, Tranmere have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.56.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnet to win ✓59%1.691.67
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Half-time resultBarnet ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnet / FT Barnet ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.94–

Form

Barnet – last 6

DWDLWW
31 Oct@ Crewe1–1D
27 Octvs York3–1W
24 Octvs Oldham1–1D
20 Octvs Swindon Town1–3L
17 Oct@ Tranmere2–1W
10 Oct@ Bristol Rovers3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tranmere – last 6

WDWLDL
31 Octvs Cheltenham3–1W
24 Oct@ Crawley Town1–1D
20 Oct@ Northampton1–0W
17 Octvs Barnet1–2L
10 Octvs Rochdale1–1D
3 Oct@ Chesterfield2–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Oct 2026Tranmere v Barnet1–2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnet vs Tranmere?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Barnet vs Tranmere?

On our numbers Barnet have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tranmere 19%.

How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Tranmere?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Barnet vs Tranmere?

Barnet vs Tranmere (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.