FA Cup · England · Brunton Park

Carlisle

WWWWD
1–0
FT

Salford City

WWWWW

Carlisle vs Salford City prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultSalford City to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Win chances

Carlisle37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Salford City41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
3.06Expected goals
1.49Carlisle xG
1.57Salford City xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Carlisle 1.5 – 1.6 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Carlisle and Salford City on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Carlisle have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Salford City have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Carlisle, 1.6 for Salford City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Carlisle have won 0, Salford City have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, Carlisle to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✗41%2.472.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.57
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Form

Carlisle – last 6

WWWWDW
31 Oct@ Altrincham4–2W
28 Octvs Harrogate Town3–0W
24 Oct@ Solihull Moors2–1W
17 Octvs Tamworth2–1W
10 Octvs Kidderminster Harriers0–0D
3 Oct@ Aldershot Town3–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWWWWD
31 Octvs Exeter City2–1W
26 Oct@ Walsall4–2W
20 Oct@ Bristol Rovers2–1W
17 Octvs Crawley Town2–1W
10 Oct@ Cheltenham2–0W
6 Oct@ Accrington ST1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jul 2026Carlisle v Salford City0–2

More FA Cup predictions

FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 292150 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 592219 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 662212 1XBoreham Wood or draw 88%@1.22 ✗ FT Bradford7 Marine0 74179 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓ FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 295318 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗ FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 76177 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓ FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 651422 1Cheltenham to win 65%@1.90 ✓ FT Crewe2 AFC Wimbledon1 372439 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Salford City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?

On our numbers Carlisle have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salford City 41%.

How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Salford City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Carlisle vs Salford City?

Carlisle vs Salford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.