FA Cup · England · Kenilworth Road

Luton

DWWWW
2–0
FT

Forest Green

DWWDL

Luton vs Forest Green prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Luton to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLuton to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceLuton or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.54

Win chances

Luton68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @5.00
Forest Green13%fair 7.53 · @9.00
3.01Expected goals
2.18Luton xG
0.83Forest Green xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Luton 2.2 – 0.8 Forest Green expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Luton are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Forest Green.

Luton have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Forest Green have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Luton come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Luton, 0.8 for Forest Green). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Our pick is Luton to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.46.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuton to win ✓68%1.461.33
Double chanceLuton or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.83
Half-time resultLuton ahead at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luton / FT Luton ✓45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12%8.54–

Form

Luton – last 6

DWWWWL
3 Nov@ Huddersfield1–1D
31 Oct@ Peterborough2–0W
27 Octvs Doncaster3–1W
24 Octvs Leicester2–1W
20 Octvs Barnsley2–1W
17 Oct@ Milton Keynes Dons1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Forest Green – last 6

DWWDLD
31 Octvs Harrogate Town2–2D
28 Octvs Eastleigh2–0W
20 Octvs Chesham United5–0W
17 Oct@ Chesham United0–0D
10 Octvs Hartlepool2–4L
29 Sepvs Wealdstone1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Luton and Forest Green.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luton vs Forest Green?

Our pick is Luton to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Luton vs Forest Green?

On our numbers Luton have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Forest Green 13%.

How many goals will there be in Luton vs Forest Green?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Luton vs Forest Green?

Luton vs Forest Green (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kenilworth Road.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.