FA Cup · England · Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham
Barrow
Gillingham vs Barrow prediction & analysis
Gillingham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.3 – 0.6 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gillingham hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 18% for Barrow.
Gillingham have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Barrow have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Barrow come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for Gillingham, 0.6 for Barrow). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%).
Our pick is Gillingham or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gillingham to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Gillingham or draw ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.36 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham ✗ | 32% | 3.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.04 | – |
Form
Gillingham – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Shrewsbury | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Grimsby | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Port Vale | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Accrington ST | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Brighton U21 | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Rotherham | 4–1 | W |
Barrow – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Gloucester City | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Gloucester City | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Tamworth | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Wealdstone | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Barrow.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Barrow?
Our pick is Gillingham or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barrow 18%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Barrow?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Gillingham vs Barrow?
Gillingham vs Barrow (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.