FA Cup · England

Colchester

LLDDL
1–0
FT

Worcester City

WWDLL

Colchester vs Worcester City prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultColchester to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.54

Win chances

Colchester68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
Worcester City16%fair 6.29 · @7.50
2.69Expected goals
1.95Colchester xG
0.74Worcester City xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Colchester 1.9 – 0.7 Worcester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Colchester are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 16% for Worcester City.

Colchester have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Worcester City have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Worcester City come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Colchester, 0.7 for Worcester City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColchester to win ✓68%1.461.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.57
Half-time resultColchester ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colchester / FT Colchester ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.54–

Form

Colchester – last 6

LLDDLD
31 Octvs Walsall1–3L
24 Oct@ Northampton0–2L
20 Oct@ Chesterfield1–1D
17 Octvs Exeter City0–0D
10 Oct@ Newport County0–1L
3 Octvs Luton1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Worcester City – last 6

WWDLLW
31 Octvs Real Bedford4–1W
27 Oct@ Banbury United3–0W
17 Oct@ Chorley1–1D
13 Octvs Stourbridge1–3L
10 Oct@ Rushall Olympic0–1L
3 Oct@ Kettering Town3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Worcester City.

More FA Cup predictions

FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 292150 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 592219 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 662212 1XBoreham Wood or draw 88%@1.22 ✗ FT Bradford7 Marine0 74179 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓ FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 295318 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗ FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 76177 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓ FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 372341 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗ FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 651422 1Cheltenham to win 65%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colchester vs Worcester City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Colchester vs Worcester City?

On our numbers Colchester have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Worcester City 16%.

How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Worcester City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Colchester vs Worcester City?

Colchester vs Worcester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.