FA Cup · England · SMH Group Stadium
Chesterfield
Yeovil Town
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 56% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chesterfield 3.2 – 1.7 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chesterfield are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 14% for Yeovil Town.
Chesterfield have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Yeovil Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 4.9 goals (3.2 for Chesterfield, 1.7 for Yeovil Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (7%), 3–2 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Over 3.5 goals at 2.25 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesterfield to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Chesterfield or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.53 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Chesterfield ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 7% | 14.29 | – |
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Newport County | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Crewe | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Colchester | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Crawley Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Tranmere | 4–2 | W |
Yeovil Town – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ AFC Hornchurch | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Altrincham | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Leatherhead | 5–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Leatherhead | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Wealdstone | 6–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town.
More FA Cup predictions
Accrington ST0
Wycombe2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
FT
Barnet3
Tranmere0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
FT
Boreham Wood0
Wigan3
1XBoreham Wood or draw
88%@1.22
✗
FT
Bradford7
Marine0
1Bradford to win
74%@1.30
✓
FT
Bromley0
Rotherham2
1XBromley or draw
82%@1.30
✗
FT
Burton Albion4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
70%@1.33
✓
FT
Carlisle1
Salford City0
GGBoth teams to score
63%@1.50
✗
FT
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0
1Cheltenham to win
65%@1.90
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.