FA Cup · England · Oakwell

Barnsley

DLLLL
7–2
FT

Aldershot Town

LWLLW

Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Barnsley to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarnsley to win ✓70% · @1.28
Double chanceBarnsley or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08

Win chances

Barnsley70%fair 1.43 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @6.50
Aldershot Town11%fair 9.36 · @8.00
3.26Expected goals
2.39Barnsley xG
0.86Aldershot Town xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Barnsley 2.4 – 0.9 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Barnsley are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 11% for Aldershot Town.

Barnsley have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Aldershot Town have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Aldershot Town come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.4 for Barnsley, 0.9 for Aldershot Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Our pick is Barnsley to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.43.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnsley to win ✓70%1.431.28
Double chanceBarnsley or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.80
Half-time resultBarnsley ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnsley / FT Barnsley ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.08–

Form

Barnsley – last 6

DLLLLL
31 Octvs Oxford United1–1D
24 Oct@ Reading1–2L
20 Oct@ Luton1–2L
17 Octvs Cambridge United1–2L
10 Oct@ Stockport County1–3L
6 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aldershot Town – last 6

LWLLWD
3 Novvs Ipswich Town U210–5L
31 Octvs Gateshead1–0W
28 Oct@ Sutton Utd0–2L
24 Octvs Wealdstone0–1L
20 Oct@ Tadley Calleva2–0W
17 Octvs Tadley Calleva2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Aldershot Town.

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Our pick is Barnsley to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

On our numbers Barnsley have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aldershot Town 11%.

How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Barnsley vs Aldershot Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.