FA Cup · England · Moss Lane
Altrincham
Notts County
Altrincham vs Notts County prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Notts County to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Altrincham 1.1 – 2.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Notts County travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 14% for Altrincham.
Altrincham have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Notts County have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.1 for Altrincham, 2.3 for Notts County). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, Notts County to win at 1.73 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Notts County to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Notts County or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Notts County ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Notts County / FT Notts County ✗ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.35 | – |
Form
Altrincham – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Carlisle | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Kidderminster Harriers | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Yeovil Town | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ United of Manchester | 6–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs United of Manchester | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Aldershot Town | 3–1 | W |
Notts County – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Mansfield Town | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Stockport County | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Wycombe | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest U21 | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Oxford United | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Notts County.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Notts County 62%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Notts County?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Altrincham vs Notts County?
Altrincham vs Notts County (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.