Value bet: Juventud to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.68
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Juventud travel to Estadio Belvedere in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 3 November (00:00 WAT) to face Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Juventud sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Club Nacional 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventud's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Nacional Florida 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.0 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 45%, draw 22%, Juventud 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Juventud to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Juventud33%fair 3.03 · @3.25
2.26Expected goals
1.25Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.01Juventud xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 – 1.0 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.68
–
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWWDWW
25 Oct
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Penarol
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Progreso
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Central Espanol
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
WDLWWD
28 Oct
@ Nacional Florida
2–0
W
24 Oct
vs Penarol
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Progreso
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Racing Montevideo
2–0
W
8 Oct
@ Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Boston River
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventud 33%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
