FA Cup · England · Vale Park

Port Vale

WWLDW
4–2
FT

Scunthorpe

DLLLW

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction & analysis

82%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPort Vale to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Win chances

Port Vale64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
Scunthorpe18%fair 5.58 · @5.25
3.48Expected goals
2.33Port Vale xG
1.15Scunthorpe xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Port Vale 2.3 – 1.2 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Port Vale are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 18% for Scunthorpe.

Port Vale have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Scunthorpe have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. Port Vale come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.5 goals (2.3 for Port Vale, 1.2 for Scunthorpe). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✓64%1.561.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.691.44
Half-time resultPort Vale ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Form

Port Vale – last 6

WWLDWW
31 Octvs Rochdale4–2W
27 Octvs Manchester City U215–0W
24 Oct@ York0–2L
20 Oct@ Gillingham1–1D
17 Octvs Chesterfield1–0W
10 Octvs Grimsby1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Scunthorpe – last 6

DLLLWD
3 Novvs Wolves U212–2D
31 Oct@ Boston United1–2L
27 Oct@ Tamworth1–4L
24 Octvs Woking2–3L
17 Oct@ Boston United3–1W
13 Octvs Derby County U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Scunthorpe.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

On our numbers Port Vale have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Scunthorpe 18%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.