FA Cup · England · Kassam Stadium

Oxford United

WDWDW
0–1
FT

Stevenage

DLWLW

Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOxford United to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39

Win chances

Oxford United52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Stevenage26%fair 3.79 · @3.70
2.57Expected goals
1.55Oxford United xG
1.01Stevenage xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Oxford United 1.6 – 1.0 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Oxford United hold the edge on home soil with a 52% chance of winning, against 26% for Stevenage.

Oxford United have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Stevenage have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.6 for Oxford United, 1.0 for Stevenage). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Oxford United have won 1, Stevenage have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗52%1.942.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.39–

Form

Oxford United – last 6

WDWDWD
4 Novvs Reading2–0W
31 Oct@ Barnsley1–1D
27 Octvs Stockport County1–0W
24 Octvs Bradford0–0D
20 Octvs Wigan2–1W
15 Oct@ Mansfield Town1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Stevenage – last 6

DLWLWW
31 Oct@ Leicester2–2D
24 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons0–1L
20 Octvs Plymouth3–0W
17 Oct@ Bradford0–2L
10 Octvs Wigan1–0W
6 Octvs Leicester2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Stevenage v Oxford United1–2

More FA Cup predictions

FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 292150 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 592219 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 662212 1XBoreham Wood or draw 88%@1.22 ✗ FT Bradford7 Marine0 74179 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓ FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 295318 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗ FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 76177 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓ FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 372341 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗ FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 651422 1Cheltenham to win 65%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stevenage 26%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Oxford United vs Stevenage (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.