FA Cup · England · Rodney Parade
Newport County
Walsall
Newport County vs Walsall prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newport County 1.2 – 1.4 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Walsall shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for Newport County.
Newport County have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Walsall have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Newport County, 1.4 for Walsall). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Walsall to win at 2.70 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Walsall to win ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Walsall / FT Walsall ✗ | 24% | 4.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.17 | – |
Form
Newport County – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Crystal Palace U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | vs Chesterfield | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Cheltenham | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Rotherham | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs York | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Colchester | 1–0 | W |
Walsall – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Colchester | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Salford City | 2–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Oldham | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Swindon Town | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Fulham U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Walsall.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Walsall?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newport County vs Walsall?
On our numbers Newport County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walsall 43%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Newport County vs Walsall?
Newport County vs Walsall (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.