FA Cup · England · Stadium MK
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town prediction & analysis
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 2.3 – 0.8 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Milton Keynes Dons are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 12% for Swindon Town.
Milton Keynes Dons have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Swindon Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Milton Keynes Dons come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.3 for Milton Keynes Dons, 0.8 for Swindon Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Milton Keynes Dons to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Milton Keynes Dons or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Milton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.73 | – |
Form
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Doncaster | 6–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Bromley | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Stevenage | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Blackpool | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Luton | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Reading | 1–5 | L |
Swindon Town – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Rotherham | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Bristol Rovers | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Barnet | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Crewe | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Rochdale | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swindon Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.