FA Cup · England · Hornchurch Stadium
AFC Hornchurch
Blackpool
AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction & analysis
Blackpool or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 2.3 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Blackpool travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 17% for AFC Hornchurch.
AFC Hornchurch have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Blackpool have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for AFC Hornchurch, 2.3 for Blackpool). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Blackpool or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Blackpool to win at 1.80 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Blackpool to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Blackpool or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Blackpool ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Blackpool / FT Blackpool ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs West Ham United U21 | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | @ AFC Fylde | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Yeovil Town | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Hartlepool | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Uxbridge | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Eastleigh | 2–0 | W |
Blackpool – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Sheffield Wednesday | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Aston Villa U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Mansfield Town | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Milton Keynes Dons | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Leyton Orient | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Cambridge United | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Blackpool.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
Our pick is Blackpool or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackpool 61%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.