FA Cup · England
Guiseley AFC
Sutton Utd
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.3 – 1.5 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sutton Utd shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 35% for Guiseley AFC.
Guiseley AFC have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Sutton Utd have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for Guiseley AFC, 1.5 for Sutton Utd). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Guiseley AFC to win at 3.60 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sutton Utd to win ✗ | 45% | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.16 | – |
Form
Guiseley AFC – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Leek Town | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Redcar Athletic | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Rylands | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Cleethorpes Town | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Leiston | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Avro | 1–0 | W |
Sutton Utd – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Southampton U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | @ Worthing | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Aldershot Town | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Harrogate Town | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Truro City | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Sutton Utd.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sutton Utd 45%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.