FA Cup · England · Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood Town
Rochdale
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.9 – 1.0 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fleetwood Town hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Rochdale.
Fleetwood Town have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Rochdale have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded. Fleetwood Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Fleetwood Town, 1.0 for Rochdale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Fleetwood Town have won 0, Rochdale have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fleetwood Town to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Fleetwood Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.41 | – |
Form
Fleetwood Town – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Arsenal | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Exeter City | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Cheltenham | 2–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Rotherham | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
Rochdale – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Doncaster | 1–4 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Port Vale | 2–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Accrington ST | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Crewe | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Fleetwood Town v Rochdale | 1–2 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rochdale 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.