FA Cup · England · Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh

DLWWL
1–2
FT

Shrewsbury

LWDWW

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury prediction & analysis

87%
Footrivo pick

Shrewsbury or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 1.95 – our chance 65% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultShrewsbury to win ✓65% · @1.95
Double chanceShrewsbury or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.24

Win chances

Eastleigh13%fair 7.93 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Shrewsbury65%fair 1.54 · @1.95
3.89Expected goals
1.23Eastleigh xG
2.66Shrewsbury xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–25%

From our goals model: Eastleigh 1.2 – 2.7 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Shrewsbury travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 13% for Eastleigh.

Eastleigh have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Shrewsbury have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.9 goals (1.2 for Eastleigh, 2.7 for Shrewsbury). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (7%).

Our pick is Shrewsbury or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Shrewsbury to win at 1.95 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShrewsbury to win ✓65%1.541.95 ▲
Double chanceShrewsbury or draw ✓87%1.141.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.791.40
Half-time resultShrewsbury ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shrewsbury / FT Shrewsbury ✓46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.24–

Form

Eastleigh – last 6

DLWWLL
31 Oct@ Barrow1–1D
28 Oct@ Forest Green0–2L
24 Octvs Boston United4–2W
17 Octvs Brentwood Town3–2W
10 Oct@ AFC Hornchurch0–2L
3 Octvs Woking1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shrewsbury – last 6

LWDWWL
31 Octvs Gillingham1–2L
27 Octvs Everton U212–1W
24 Oct@ Rotherham3–3D
20 Oct@ Crawley Town3–2W
17 Octvs Bristol Rovers1–0W
10 Octvs Exeter City0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Shrewsbury.

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?

Our pick is Shrewsbury or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?

On our numbers Eastleigh have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shrewsbury 65%.

How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.